Wednesday, July 15, 2026

278 whale trades totalling $13.70M from 209 wallets. Biggest: $1.12M buy No on “Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” at 83¢. 69 of 166 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 72.7 expected (-2.2 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 83¢	$1.12M 27.0× usual	83%	0x2c33…0563	100d ago	called	Trade this
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	HIGH BUY England @ 55¢	$634.0k	55%	englandsaveme NEW	100d ago	missed	Trade this
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	HIGH BUY England @ 54¢	$436.4k	54%	englandsaveme NEW	100d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 42¢	$367.8k 8.8× usual	42%	0x2c33…0563	100d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 58¢	$291.0k 3.6× usual	58%	stubblyballs	100d ago	called	Trade this
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5	HIGH BUY Under @ 81¢	$254.6k 9.6× usual	81%	swisstony PROVEN	100d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 42¢	$240.0k 3.4× usual	42%	juliannagelsmann	100d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 58¢	$221.2k 3.5× usual	58%	mentionmarket	100d ago	called	Trade this
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 25¢	$203.5k 4.9× usual	25%	0x2c33…0563	100d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$199.1k 3.9× usual	100%	JAHODA	101d ago	excluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 46¢	$197.5k 3.2× usual	46%	surfandturf LOSING	100d ago	excluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY England @ 54¢	$195.4k	54%	Djdjdjekekek	100d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL Yes @ 58¢	$181.3k 8.0× usual	42%	mooseborzoi LOSING	100d ago	missed	Trade this
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 46¢	$178.1k 2.8× usual	46%	sleepy-panda LOSING	100d ago	excluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY England @ 54¢	$167.8k 2.8× usual	54%	hot2trot	101d ago	missed	Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 83¢$1.12M

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 100d ago

Trade this

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancemissed

BUY England @ 55¢$634.0k

HIGH New wallet englandsaveme · 100d ago

Trade this

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancemissed

BUY England @ 54¢$436.4k

HIGH New wallet englandsaveme · 100d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 42¢$367.8k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 100d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 58¢$291.0k

MED stubblyballs · 100d ago

Trade this

England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5excluded

BUY Under @ 81¢$254.6k

HIGH PROVEN swisstony · 100d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 42¢$240.0k

MED juliannagelsmann · 100d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 58¢$221.2k

MED mentionmarket · 100d ago

Trade this

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 25¢$203.5k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 100d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$199.1k

LOW JAHODA · 101d ago

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 46¢$197.5k

MED LOSING surfandturf · 100d ago

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY England @ 54¢$195.4k

MED Djdjdjekekek · 100d ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

SELL Yes @ 58¢$181.3k

MED LOSING mooseborzoi · 100d ago

Trade this

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 46¢$178.1k

MED LOSING sleepy-panda · 100d ago

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancemissed

BUY England @ 54¢$167.8k

MED hot2trot · 101d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

$6.25M · 126 flags

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$2.90M · 38 flags

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$1.54M · 35 flags

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$880.2k · 17 flags

England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

$547.8k · 16 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

$482.0k · 15 flags