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England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Resolved: Under
Flags
16
Net whale flow → Over
−$412.3k
Over 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Under$480.1k
12 flags
$340.7k
2 wallets
none
Not Under$39.3k
2 flags
none none
Over$28.5k
2 flags
$13.4k
1 wallet
none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $11.9k0% bluemario101d agoexcluded
LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $27.4k0% omnibus-00c8ef101d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Under @ 98.2¢ $33.3k98% Mind.The.Gap101d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Under @ 92.7¢ $15.5k93% johndegen101d agoexcluded
MED BUY Under @ 86¢ $25.6k86% swisstony PROVEN101d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ $15.8k79% FlamePyro101d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Under @ 98.4¢ $16.0k98% jinwujinshu101d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Under @ 92¢ $37.0k92% 0x71ac…d2b1101d agoexcluded
HIGH BUY Under @ 81¢ $254.6k
9.6× usual
81% swisstony PROVEN101d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ $20.8k79% omnibus-076daa PROVEN101d agocalled
LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ $14.7k79% swisstony PROVEN101d agocalled
MED BUY Over @ 22¢ $13.4k22% Zzzz87 PROVEN101d agomissed
LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ $21.8k79% omnibus-00c8ef101d agocalled
LOW BUY Over @ 21¢ $15.1k21% DaBossHogg101d agomissed
LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ $10.3k79% swisstony PROVEN101d agocalled
LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ $14.7k79% swisstony PROVEN101d agocalled

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 16 whale trades on this market totalling $547.8k from 11 wallets. The largest was $254.6k (buy Under at 81¢). Most whale money ($480.1k) went to Under. 12 of 16 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, swisstony ($319.9k), has called 51 of 62 graded flags overall (+10.0 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-eng-arg-2026-07-15-total-3pt5).