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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on Under, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.7k
BUY Under @ 79¢ · 18,627 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Under (buy) for $14.7k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.7k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−371American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 78.8%
- As American odds
- −371 no vig
- Size
- $14.7k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 12:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x26bf925b…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsUnder price · entry 79¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $27.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 98.2¢ | $33.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 92.7¢ | $15.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 86¢ | $25.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ | $15.8k | excluded |