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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +53.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+53.6 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$453.0k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$700.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.86M volume · 2,198 trades · since Jul 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$700.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
55%
11 closed
Wallet age · markets
103d
11 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 1.4 | +53.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $291.0k 3.6× usual |
called |
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 40¢ | $81.0k | called |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 40¢ | $81.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x954df9…