Friday, April 17, 2026

229 whale trades totalling $9.92M from 146 wallets. Biggest: $487.7k buy Suns on “Warriors vs. Suns” at 59¢. 6 of 23 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 11.8 expected (-25.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Warriors vs. Suns	HIGH BUY Suns @ 59¢	$487.7k 11.7× usual	59%	0x3625…1187	189d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	MED BUY No @ 99.3¢	$477.7k 4.8× usual	99%	NotBakerMcKenzie	189d ago	excluded
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	MED SELL Baltimore Orioles @ 99.9¢	$399.9k 3.7× usual	0%	noMoohyun523	189d ago	excluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$389.3k 7.7× usual	100%	elmcap2	190d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 63¢	$345.4k 16.0× usual	63%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	190d ago	missed	Trade this
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$342.4k	100%	CAR-AyatollahVersion	190d ago	excluded
Hornets vs. Magic	HIGH BUY Hornets @ 58¢	$293.2k 5.0× usual	58%	Dhdhsjsj	189d ago	missed	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢	$277.1k	99%	Ryan888	189d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.8¢	$223.8k 6.1× usual	1%	0x5823…dea4 NEW	190d ago	excluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$214.7k 7.6× usual	0%	Car	189d ago	excluded
Warriors vs. Suns	MED BUY Warriors @ 43¢	$169.1k 2.5× usual	43%	0x8a6c…0b3f	189d ago	excluded
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	MED BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢	$164.1k	42%	noMoohyun523	189d ago	excluded
Hornets vs. Magic	LOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢	$152.3k 6.0× usual	100%	silenceOfTheLambs	189d ago	excluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$134.9k 2.6× usual	0%	JAHODA	190d ago	excluded
Hornets vs. Magic	MED BUY Hornets @ 58¢	$125.9k	58%	0x8a6c…0b3f	189d ago	missed	Trade this

Warriors vs. Sunscalled

BUY Suns @ 59¢$487.7k

HIGH 0x3625…1187 · 189d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$477.7k

MED NotBakerMcKenzie · 189d ago

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansexcluded

SELL Baltimore Orioles @ 99.9¢$399.9k

MED noMoohyun523 · 189d ago

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$389.3k

LOW elmcap2 · 190d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?missed

BUY Yes @ 63¢$345.4k

HIGH PROVEN ScottyNooo · 190d ago

Trade this

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$342.4k

LOW CAR-AyatollahVersion · 190d ago

Hornets vs. Magicmissed

BUY Hornets @ 58¢$293.2k

HIGH Dhdhsjsj · 189d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$277.1k

LOW Ryan888 · 189d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.8¢$223.8k

HIGH New wallet 0x5823…dea4 · 190d ago

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$214.7k

LOW Car · 189d ago

Warriors vs. Sunsexcluded

BUY Warriors @ 43¢$169.1k

MED 0x8a6c…0b3f · 189d ago

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansexcluded

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢$164.1k

MED noMoohyun523 · 189d ago

Hornets vs. Magicexcluded

BUY Magic @ 99.9¢$152.3k

LOW silenceOfTheLambs · 189d ago

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$134.9k

LOW JAHODA · 190d ago

Hornets vs. Magicmissed

BUY Hornets @ 58¢$125.9k

MED 0x8a6c…0b3f · 189d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

$1.80M · 22 flags

Warriors vs. Suns

$1.61M · 35 flags

Hornets vs. Magic

$1.57M · 39 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$969.9k · 20 flags

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

$578.0k · 3 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

$501.4k · 8 flags