What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did -25.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice.How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-25.2 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$3.62M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.44M
Last 30 days +$0 · $58.85M volume · 16,965 trades · since Oct 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
