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Hornets vs. Magicmissed
What this means. A wallet put $293.2k on Hornets, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$293.2k
BUY Hornets @ 58¢ · 505,508 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1h5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Dhdhsjsj took Hornets (buy) for $293.2k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $293.2k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hornets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $293.2k
- Placed
- Apr 17, 17:42 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 17, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Magic
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Dhdhsjsj
- Tx
- 0xca7c2a8b…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-25.2 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsHornets price · entry 58¢ · resolved Magic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ | $152.3k 6.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $24.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |