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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$261.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,378
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.70M volume · 958 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,378
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
99%
195 closed
Wallet age · markets
271d
194 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
 Golden Knights vs. Ducks | LOW BUY Golden Knights @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | LOW BUY Canadiens @ 98.8¢ | $21.3k | excluded |
 Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ | $152.3k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb9d33c…