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What this means. A wallet put $164.1k on Baltimore Orioles, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansexcluded
$164.1k
BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢ · 393,184 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet noMoohyun523 took Baltimore Orioles (buy) for $164.1k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Baltimore Orioles. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $164.1k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+140American odds
$1.00paid per share if Baltimore Orioles wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
41.7%
As American odds
+140 no vig
Size
$164.1k
Placed
Apr 17, 19:40 EDT
Market close
Apr 17, 18:10 EDT
Result
Baltimore Orioles
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
noMoohyun523
Tx
0x3e63ef20…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-45.1 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +58 pts
Baltimore Orioles price · entry 42¢ · resolved Baltimore Orioles
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $164.1k WHALE $164.1K @ 42¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansMED SELL Baltimore Orioles @ 99.9¢ $399.9k
3.7× usual
0% noMoohyun523189d agoexcluded
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansLOW BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 85¢ $14.1k85% alchemicalwarlock189d agoexcluded