alchemicalwarlock

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?+$35No · avg 53¢ → 58¢ · $368 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?−$258Yes · avg 10¢ → 5¢ · $253 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? −$143Yes · avg 19¢ → 6.8¢ · $79 US recession by end of 2026?−$99Yes · avg 33¢ → 8.5¢ · $34

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$14.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$6,415

Last 30 days +$99 · $787.0k volume · 588 trades · since Mar 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$40.0k

Open P&L · 127 positions

−$46.3k

Closed-position win rate

69%

225 closed

Wallet age · markets

575d

348 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	LOW BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 85¢	$14.1k	85%	189d ago	excluded

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansexcluded

BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 85¢$14.1k

LOW alchemicalwarlock · 189d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x574125fd65fc6a5605e37285fbd4ba02c3b7fb99"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x574125fd65fc6a5605e37285fbd4ba02c3b7fb99.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x574125…