← Wallets
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$7.66M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$33.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $28.86M volume · 1,604 trades · since Mar 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$33.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
88%
17 closed
Wallet age · markets
217d
15 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $342.4k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $495.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $814.2k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $1.84M 5.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $273.2k | excluded |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $3.83M 11.2× usual |
excluded |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excludedBUY Yes @ 99.8¢$814.2k
LOW CAR-AyatollahVersion · 201d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excludedSELL Yes @ 99.8¢$1.84M
MED CAR-AyatollahVersion · 202d ago
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x511653479dbf3a4557d8a2359595d429b90dc5b8"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x511653479dbf3a4557d8a2359595d429b90dc5b8.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x511653…