Wednesday, April 15, 2026

240 whale trades totalling $13.79M from 156 wallets. Biggest: $3.93M buy No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢. 21 of 44 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 24.1 expected (-7.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$3.93M 14.3× usual	100%	FedWillWin	191d ago	excluded
Warriors vs. Clippers	HIGH BUY Clippers @ 68¢	$498.1k	68%	0xb6d6…be17	191d ago	missed	Trade this
Warriors vs. Clippers	HIGH BUY Clippers @ 67¢	$422.5k 7.2× usual	67%	Dhdhsjsj	191d ago	excluded
Magic vs. 76ers	MED SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢	$310.5k 4.6× usual	0%	0x8a6c…0b3f	191d ago	excluded
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$265.5k 2.7× usual	100%	NotBakerMcKenzie	191d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$245.3k 5.9× usual	100%	Pestle	191d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$244.8k 5.9× usual	100%	Pestle	191d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 98.9¢	$236.7k 5.7× usual	1%	Pestle	191d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.6¢	$211.1k	1%	0x283c…e92f NEW	192d ago	excluded
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$200.1k 7.4× usual	100%	ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN	191d ago	excluded
Warriors vs. Clippers	MED BUY Clippers @ 68¢	$196.2k 2.9× usual	68%	0x8a6c…0b3f	191d ago	excluded
Magic vs. 76ers	MED BUY Magic @ 50¢	$181.8k 4.2× usual	50%	Countryside	191d ago	excluded
Magic vs. 76ers	MED BUY Magic @ 49¢	$178.3k	49%	Tiger200	191d ago	excluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢	$170.5k 5.9× usual	99%	dwFqcd4Z	191d ago	excluded
Magic vs. 76ers	MED BUY 76ers @ 50¢	$153.0k 2.3× usual	50%	0x8a6c…0b3f	191d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$3.93M

LOW FedWillWin · 191d ago

Warriors vs. Clippersmissed

BUY Clippers @ 68¢$498.1k

HIGH 0xb6d6…be17 · 191d ago

Trade this

Warriors vs. Clippersexcluded

BUY Clippers @ 67¢$422.5k

HIGH Dhdhsjsj · 191d ago

Magic vs. 76ersexcluded

SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢$310.5k

MED 0x8a6c…0b3f · 191d ago

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$265.5k

LOW NotBakerMcKenzie · 191d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$245.3k

LOW Pestle · 191d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$244.8k

LOW Pestle · 191d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 98.9¢$236.7k

MED Pestle · 191d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.6¢$211.1k

HIGH New wallet 0x283c…e92f · 192d ago

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$200.1k

LOW PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 191d ago

Warriors vs. Clippersexcluded

BUY Clippers @ 68¢$196.2k

MED 0x8a6c…0b3f · 191d ago

Magic vs. 76ersexcluded

BUY Magic @ 50¢$181.8k

MED Countryside · 191d ago

Magic vs. 76ersexcluded

BUY Magic @ 49¢$178.3k

MED Tiger200 · 191d ago

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99¢$170.5k

LOW dwFqcd4Z · 191d ago

Magic vs. 76ersexcluded

BUY 76ers @ 50¢$153.0k

MED 0x8a6c…0b3f · 191d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$4.28M · 5 flags

Magic vs. 76ers

$1.88M · 45 flags

Warriors vs. Clippers

$1.79M · 26 flags

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

$953.0k · 14 flags

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

$642.9k · 23 flags

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

$624.7k · 19 flags