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What this means. A wallet put $52.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$52.0k
SELL No @ 96.2¢ · 54,117 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xb11a…3ae9 took No (sell) for $52.0k at an average 96.2¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $52.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.2¢
- Implied odds
- 3.8%
- Size
- $52.0k
- Placed
- Apr 13, 10:10 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb11a…3ae9
- Tx
- 0x0769bd69…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-3.9 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsNo price · entry 96.2¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.6k | excluded |