Monday, April 6, 2026

258 whale trades totalling $16.31M from 187 wallets. Biggest: $1.18M buy Yes on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” at 99.8¢. 15 of 41 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 27.4 expected (-30.3 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$1.18M 42.1× usual	100%	95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965	200d ago	excluded
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines	HIGH BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 74¢	$980.2k 20.8× usual	74%	Mentallyillgambld	200d ago	called	Trade this
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$951.0k 3.1× usual	100%	HouseOfPol	200d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$543.5k 17.8× usual	99%	foodenjoyer	200d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$415.8k 6.3× usual	100%	BrazilianMemer	200d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$414.6k	100%	MoronKiler	200d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$399.9k 4.0× usual	100%	NotBakerMcKenzie	200d ago	excluded
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines	MED BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 79¢	$371.3k 2.0× usual	79%	Tiger200	200d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$365.8k 3.8× usual	100%	0xe639…082a	200d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$339.0k	0%	poorsob	200d ago	excluded
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5	MED SELL Over @ 99.9¢	$293.6k 2.7× usual	0%	noMoohyun523	201d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$288.0k 13.4× usual	100%	scottilicious PROVEN	200d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢	$277.4k 10.3× usual	0%	ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN	200d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$239.8k 6.2× usual	0%	scout	200d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$214.9k 8.0× usual	100%	ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN	200d ago	excluded

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$1.18M

LOW 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 · 200d ago

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinescalled

BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 74¢$980.2k

HIGH Mentallyillgambld · 200d ago

Trade this

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$951.0k

LOW HouseOfPol · 200d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$543.5k

MED foodenjoyer · 200d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$415.8k

LOW BrazilianMemer · 200d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$414.6k

LOW MoronKiler · 200d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$399.9k

LOW NotBakerMcKenzie · 200d ago

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesexcluded

BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 79¢$371.3k

MED Tiger200 · 200d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$365.8k

LOW 0xe639…082a · 200d ago

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$339.0k

MED poorsob · 200d ago

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5excluded

SELL Over @ 99.9¢$293.6k

MED noMoohyun523 · 201d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$288.0k

MED PROVEN scottilicious · 200d ago

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$277.4k

HIGH PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 200d ago

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$239.8k

LOW scout · 200d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$214.9k

MED PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 200d ago

Most traded markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$8.84M · 84 flags

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

$2.46M · 30 flags

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

$1.02M · 6 flags

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

$955.7k · 30 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$822.0k · 33 flags

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5

$307.2k · 2 flags