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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.58M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.63M volume · 284 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$10.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
85%
114 closed
Wallet age · markets
270d
106 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $306.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $305.9k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $951.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x12da0e…