Sunday, April 5, 2026

216 whale trades totalling $15.52M from 170 wallets. Biggest: $1.84M sell Yes on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” at 99.8¢. 0 of 2 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 0.6 expected (-29.5 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$1.84M 5.4× usual	0%	CAR-AyatollahVersion	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.7¢	$1.50M 40.8× usual	0%	CongMingLabs	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$946.5k 4.7× usual	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$814.2k 2.4× usual	100%	CAR-AyatollahVersion	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$557.6k 2.5× usual	100%	poorsob	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$499.0k 12.3× usual	100%	onekey09	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$342.9k 9.1× usual	100%	tsekinming01	202d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$323.8k 11.5× usual	100%	95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$299.4k 11.7× usual	100%	SwissMiss LOSING	202d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$273.2k	100%	CAR-AyatollahVersion	202d ago	excluded
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)	HIGH BUY Raptors @ 51¢	$254.5k	51%	0x4924…3782	202d ago	excluded
Wild vs. Red Wings	MED SELL Wild @ 99.9¢	$254.0k 3.4× usual	0%	BWArmageddon	201d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 98.8¢	$235.8k 10.9× usual	99%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	202d ago	excluded
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)	LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢	$209.9k 3.1× usual	0%	0x8a6c…0b3f	201d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$179.5k	100%	JamesBonder007	201d ago	excluded

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$1.84M

MED CAR-AyatollahVersion · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$1.50M

MED CongMingLabs · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$946.5k

MED BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$814.2k

LOW CAR-AyatollahVersion · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$557.6k

MED poorsob · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$499.0k

LOW onekey09 · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$342.9k

LOW tsekinming01 · 202d ago

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$323.8k

LOW 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$299.4k

LOW LOSING SwissMiss · 202d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$273.2k

LOW CAR-AyatollahVersion · 202d ago

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)excluded

BUY Raptors @ 51¢$254.5k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 202d ago

Wild vs. Red Wingsexcluded

SELL Wild @ 99.9¢$254.0k

MED BWArmageddon · 201d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.8¢$235.8k

MED PROVEN ScottyNooo · 202d ago

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)excluded

SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢$209.9k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 201d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$179.5k

LOW JamesBonder007 · 201d ago

Most traded markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$10.80M · 93 flags

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

$719.5k · 8 flags

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)

$616.0k · 4 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$466.2k · 14 flags

Wild vs. Red Wings

$447.1k · 5 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

$267.2k · 13 flags