WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Wallets

CongMingLabs

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.8 wins, so it did +4.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.9 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.8
Flagged volume
$9.72M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±10.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$236.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $67.60M volume · 10,275 trades · since Mar 12, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$240.3k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$3,665
Closed-position win rate
80%
64 closed
Wallet age · markets
226d
64 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other443.8+4.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $51.5k0% 122d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.6¢ $66.3k99% 140d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ $20.4k98% 141d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $598.3k
16.3× usual
100% 143d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.9¢ $10.7k98% 158d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.9¢ $35.4k98% 158d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.9¢ $13.7k98% 158d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ $43.5k98% 162d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.6¢ $63.5k98% 162d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.1¢ $23.5k97% 164d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $3.06M
83.6× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $13.7k97% 185d agocalled
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $22.8k99% 190d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $172.5k
4.7× usual
100% 191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $10.3k98% 191d agoexcluded
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $23.0k99% 191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $44.9k98% 191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $19.3k97% 192d agoexcluded
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $29.3k98% 192d agoexcluded
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $21.6k98% 192d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $26.5k99% 192d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $28.7k99% 196d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% 196d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ $16.2k98% 201d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $1.50M
40.8× usual
0% 201d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $42.5k100% 214d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $63.6k99% 215d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $103.1k
2.8× usual
98% 218d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $31.7k97% 220d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ $13.1k95% 221d agocalled
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $13.7k98% 222d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $38.3k99% 222d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 94.2¢ $23.1k94% 222d agocalled
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 93.8¢ $37.9k94% 222d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $204.0k
5.6× usual
100% 222d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $678.0k
18.5× usual
100% 223d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $140.1k
3.8× usual
99% 223d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $2.36M
64.4× usual
100% 223d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$51.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 122d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.6¢$66.3k
LOW CongMingLabs · 140d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.4¢$20.4k
LOW CongMingLabs · 141d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$598.3k
LOW CongMingLabs · 143d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.9¢$10.7k
LOW CongMingLabs · 158d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.9¢$35.4k
LOW CongMingLabs · 158d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.9¢$13.7k
LOW CongMingLabs · 158d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.8¢$43.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 162d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.6¢$63.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 162d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.1¢$23.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 164d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$3.06M
LOW CongMingLabs · 176d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?called
BUY No @ 97¢$13.7k
LOW CongMingLabs · 185d ago
Trump out as President by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$22.8k
LOW CongMingLabs · 190d ago
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$172.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 191d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$10.3k
LOW CongMingLabs · 191d ago
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$23.0k
LOW CongMingLabs · 191d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?excluded
BUY No @ 98.2¢$44.9k
LOW CongMingLabs · 191d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?excluded
BUY No @ 97.5¢$19.3k
LOW CongMingLabs · 192d ago
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.2¢$29.3k
LOW CongMingLabs · 192d ago
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$21.6k
LOW CongMingLabs · 192d ago
Trump out as President by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$26.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 192d ago
Trump out as President by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$28.7k
LOW CongMingLabs · 196d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$59.9k
LOW CongMingLabs · 196d ago
Trump out as President by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 98.3¢$16.2k
LOW CongMingLabs · 201d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$1.50M
MED CongMingLabs · 201d ago
Trump out as President by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$42.5k
LOW CongMingLabs · 214d ago
Trump out as President by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$63.6k
LOW CongMingLabs · 215d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.1¢$103.1k
LOW CongMingLabs · 218d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 97¢$31.7k
LOW CongMingLabs · 220d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?called
BUY No @ 95.3¢$13.1k
LOW CongMingLabs · 221d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 97.9¢$13.7k
LOW CongMingLabs · 222d ago
Trump out as President by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$38.3k
LOW CongMingLabs · 222d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?called
BUY No @ 94.2¢$23.1k
LOW CongMingLabs · 222d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?called
BUY No @ 93.8¢$37.9k
LOW CongMingLabs · 222d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$204.0k
LOW CongMingLabs · 222d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$678.0k
LOW CongMingLabs · 223d ago
Trump out as President by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.8¢$140.1k
LOW CongMingLabs · 223d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$2.36M
LOW CongMingLabs · 223d ago

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xa8b202e6e9a4c2091b6860f1f5c9e9119bbc9a39"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xa8b202e6e9a4c2091b6860f1f5c9e9119bbc9a39.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa8b202…