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What this means. A wallet put $26.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.5k
BUY No @ 99¢ · 26,764 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet CongMingLabs took No (buy) for $26.5k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 99.0%
- Size
- $26.5k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 10:26 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CongMingLabs
- Tx
- 0xbdffa8a0…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.9 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.6k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $19.0k | excluded |