← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $49.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.9k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0x7131…29cc took No (sell) for $49.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $49.9k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 18:39 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x7131…29cc
- Tx
- 0x1b86a169…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-94.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.6k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |