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What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?called
$13.7k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 14,107 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet CongMingLabs took No (buy) for $13.7k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3231American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$13.7k
Placed
Apr 21, 14:36 EDT
Market close
Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
CongMingLabs
Tx
0x17e1e33e…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.9 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
No price · entry 97¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97¢ · $13.7k WHALE $13.7K @ 97¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% Circlebite184d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.4k0% rickbrian NEW184d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k0% b82a977feb7ffc184d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.9k0% dante89185d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.5k0% AlAhmeda185d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% westminster185d agoexcluded