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Daily recap

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

545 whale trades totalling $32.92M from 353 wallets. Biggest: $1.59M buy Yes on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” at 99.9¢. 38 of 82 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 44.3 expected (-7.6 pts).

Whale trades
545
Volume
$32.92M
Wallets
353
Resolved edge
-7.6 pts

Biggest trades

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.59M100% 0x7e6b…e3c5199d agoexcluded
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?HIGH BUY Yes @ 43¢ $1.31M43% imnotawizard199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $999.0k100% METROPOLI199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $999.0k
4.5× usual
0% poorsob199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $798.4k
52.8× usual
0% TheQuietRisk199d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. CelticsMED SELL Celtics @ 99.6¢ $743.5k
3.0× usual
0% 0xb6d6…be17199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $654.7k
17.0× usual
0% scout199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $560.1k
10.8× usual
100% 0x5bff…ffbe199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $498.5k
6.5× usual
100% 0x095d…52cf199d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. CelticsHIGH BUY Celtics @ 68¢ $490.3k68% 0xb6d6…be17199d agocalled
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $454.6k100% RYc9m49W8JC7jKeNk6i86FJD199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $408.1k
8.4× usual
100% steeplejack199d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?MED BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $404.4k
10.5× usual
100% scout199d agoexcluded
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $399.6k
8.0× usual
0% elmcap2199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $396.6k100% MoronKiler199d agoexcluded
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