Wednesday, April 8, 2026

320 whale trades totalling $29.71M from 242 wallets. Biggest: $2.52M buy Yes on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” at 99.8¢. 47 of 92 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 47.4 expected (-0.5 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$2.52M 11.3× usual	100%	poorsob	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$1.83M 23.4× usual	100%	033033033	198d ago	excluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	HIGH BUY No @ 47¢	$1.36M	47%	blindStaking	199d ago	missed	Trade this
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.13M 5.2× usual	100%	ForesightOracle	198d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.04M 25.6× usual	100%	onekey09	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$998.0k 24.6× usual	100%	onekey09	198d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$870.2k 34.2× usual	0%	WordleAddict	198d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$619.7k 13.2× usual	0%	SecondWindCapital	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.6¢	$528.6k 11.2× usual	0%	alliswell	198d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$499.0k 2.5× usual	0%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.6¢	$475.6k 26.3× usual	0%	Fernandoinfante	199d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$435.1k	100%	ForesightOracle	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$398.0k 7.9× usual	100%	elmcap2	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$397.6k	99%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$372.4k 14.6× usual	100%	WordleAddict	198d ago	excluded

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$2.52M

LOW poorsob · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$1.83M

LOW 033033033 · 198d ago

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?missed

BUY No @ 47¢$1.36M

HIGH blindStaking · 199d ago

Trade this

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$1.13M

LOW ForesightOracle · 198d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$1.04M

LOW onekey09 · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$998.0k

LOW onekey09 · 198d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$870.2k

MED WordleAddict · 198d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$619.7k

MED SecondWindCapital · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$528.6k

MED alliswell · 198d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$499.0k

MED BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$475.6k

MED Fernandoinfante · 199d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$435.1k

MED ForesightOracle · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$398.0k

LOW elmcap2 · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$397.6k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$372.4k

LOW WordleAddict · 198d ago

Most traded markets

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$14.23M · 96 flags

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$9.01M · 75 flags

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

$3.25M · 49 flags

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

$600.8k · 14 flags

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

$308.9k · 2 flags

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

$284.9k · 11 flags