Thursday, April 9, 2026

146 whale trades totalling $12.66M from 115 wallets. Biggest: $1.37M buy Yes on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” at 99.9¢. 1 of 2 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 1.0 expected (-0.5 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.37M	100%	LmaoIloveyou	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.13M	100%	0x0873…326f NEW	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$996.7k 4.7× usual	100%	MoronKiler	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$988.9k 5.0× usual	100%	hebi007	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$942.3k 33.6× usual	100%	95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$405.0k	100%	ForesightOracle	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$319.2k 9.0× usual	0%	jwp9999	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$306.5k	0%	HouseOfPol	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$299.5k 13.4× usual	100%	tutrucks	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$299.4k 12.1× usual	100%	WordleAddict	198d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.5¢	$209.2k	2%	0x114c…59c3 NEW	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$199.8k 5.6× usual	100%	tsybka	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$199.8k 4.7× usual	0%	polywog	198d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98¢	$190.0k	2%	0x114c…59c3 NEW	198d ago	excluded
Penguins vs. Devils	MED SELL Penguins @ 72¢	$185.3k 5.9× usual	28%	TsingTs32	198d ago	excluded

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$1.37M

LOW LmaoIloveyou · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$1.13M

MED New wallet 0x0873…326f · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$996.7k

LOW MoronKiler · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$988.9k

LOW hebi007 · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$942.3k

LOW 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$405.0k

LOW ForesightOracle · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$319.2k

MED jwp9999 · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$306.5k

MED HouseOfPol · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$299.5k

LOW tutrucks · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$299.4k

LOW WordleAddict · 198d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$209.2k

HIGH New wallet 0x114c…59c3 · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$199.8k

LOW tsybka · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$199.8k

LOW polywog · 198d ago

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98¢$190.0k

HIGH New wallet 0x114c…59c3 · 198d ago

Penguins vs. Devilsexcluded

SELL Penguins @ 72¢$185.3k

MED TsingTs32 · 198d ago

Most traded markets

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$9.26M · 50 flags

Penguins vs. Devils

$530.8k · 10 flags

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$212.1k · 2 flags

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$209.2k · 1 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$201.6k · 3 flags

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

$198.8k · 6 flags