Friday, April 10, 2026

109 whale trades totalling $3.82M from 89 wallets. Biggest: $610.6k buy Yes on “Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?” at 79¢. 2 of 3 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 2.3 expected (-11.3 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 79¢	$610.6k	79%	imnotawizard	197d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.9¢	$216.9k	1%	0x7315…2434 NEW	197d ago	excluded
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.8¢	$212.3k	1%	0xe3d5…2c46 NEW	197d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$183.3k	0%	glueeater	197d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	LOW SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢	$130.1k	0%	0x8a6c…0b3f	196d ago	excluded
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$105.5k 2.9× usual	100%	0x0a54…4a03	196d ago	excluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	HIGH BUY No @ 72¢	$100.8k 2.0× usual	72%	pcpc NEW	197d ago	called	Trade this
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 76¢	$98.6k	76%	0x8a6c…0b3f	196d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 91.2¢	$86.9k	91%	770154128482 NEW	197d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 94.6¢	$76.0k 3.1× usual	5%	kjsdavv	197d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$59.9k	0%	CongMingLabs	197d ago	excluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	MED BUY Yes @ 71¢	$56.1k 2.2× usual	71%	neutralwave23 PROVEN	197d ago	called	Trade this
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	MED BUY Hawks @ 77¢	$52.4k	77%	vbv19	196d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	MED BUY No @ 76¢	$51.3k 2.3× usual	76%	0x8b4b…541b PROVEN	197d ago	called	Trade this
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik	LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢	$49.0k 3.0× usual	92%	nevercomingback1	197d ago	called	Trade this

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 79¢$610.6k

HIGH imnotawizard · 197d ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$216.9k

HIGH New wallet 0x7315…2434 · 197d ago

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.8¢$212.3k

HIGH New wallet 0xe3d5…2c46 · 197d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$183.3k

LOW glueeater · 197d ago

Cavaliers vs. Hawksexcluded

SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢$130.1k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 196d ago

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$105.5k

LOW 0x0a54…4a03 · 196d ago

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?called

BUY No @ 72¢$100.8k

HIGH New wallet pcpc · 197d ago

Trade this

Cavaliers vs. Hawksexcluded

BUY Hawks @ 76¢$98.6k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 196d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 91.2¢$86.9k

HIGH New wallet 770154128482 · 197d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?missed

SELL No @ 94.6¢$76.0k

MED kjsdavv · 197d ago

Trade this

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$59.9k

LOW CongMingLabs · 197d ago

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?called

BUY Yes @ 71¢$56.1k

MED PROVEN neutralwave23 · 197d ago

Trade this

Cavaliers vs. Hawksexcluded

BUY Hawks @ 77¢$52.4k

MED vbv19 · 196d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?called

BUY No @ 76¢$51.3k

MED PROVEN 0x8b4b…541b · 197d ago

Trade this

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublikcalled

BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢$49.0k

LOW nevercomingback1 · 197d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

$675.2k · 4 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$333.3k · 6 flags

Cavaliers vs. Hawks

$328.3k · 6 flags

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

$244.6k · 10 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$233.9k · 8 flags

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$216.9k · 1 flags