← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +30.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+30.8 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$234.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$118.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $810.3k volume · 141 trades · since Apr 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$118.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
199d
1 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 4 | 4 | 2.8 | +30.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | HIGH BUY No @ 72¢ | $100.8k 2.0× usual |
called |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | HIGH BUY No @ 69¢ | $34.5k | called |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | MED BUY No @ 69¢ | $62.1k | called |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | HIGH BUY No @ 67¢ | $36.9k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xdfdcd929644e720a472e246d257dfa4bbcf8c7c7"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xdfdcd929644e720a472e246d257dfa4bbcf8c7c7.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdfdcd9…