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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$2.47M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$23.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.89M volume · 720 trades · since Apr 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$23.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
87%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
198d
13 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $69.3k | excluded |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $198.6k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $995.9k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $199.4k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $988.9k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
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