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What this means. A wallet put $339.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$339.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 339,301 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet poorsob took No (sell) for $339.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $339.0k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $339.0k
- Placed
- Apr 06, 12:04 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- poorsob
- Tx
- 0x4b0f4d38…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $239.8k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $277.4k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded |