Friday, April 3, 2026

177 whale trades totalling $5.76M from 129 wallets. Biggest: $368.4k buy No on “Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?” at 99.6¢. 5 of 6 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 3.3 expected (+28.6 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$368.4k 6.8× usual	100%	rdba	204d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$188.9k 6.7× usual	100%	aenews2 LOSING	204d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢	$154.3k 2.1× usual	98%	0x3b8d…2ce6	203d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢	$130.1k 3.2× usual	98%	llllllllllllllllllllllll	204d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$124.9k	100%	helloiamworld	203d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 85¢	$121.2k	85%	glueeater	204d ago	called	Trade this
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?	MED BUY Yes @ 56¢	$109.0k	56%	therighteousdog	203d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	MED SELL No @ 96.5¢	$108.0k 4.5× usual	3%	Istaroth	204d ago	missed	Trade this
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	MED BUY No @ 95¢	$104.1k 4.9× usual	95%	Radar	204d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$94.6k 2.7× usual	99%	jwp9999	203d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$93.0k 5.1× usual	88%	MisTKy PROVEN	204d ago	called	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$83.9k 4.2× usual	100%	0xf924…7545	203d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED SELL Yes @ 86¢	$76.1k	14%	0x2B495	203d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢	$71.3k	98%	0x5bff…ffbe	204d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 69¢	$68.7k 3.9× usual	69%	yungstalin	204d ago	called	Trade this

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$368.4k

LOW rdba · 204d ago

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$188.9k

LOW LOSING aenews2 · 204d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.5¢$154.3k

LOW 0x3b8d…2ce6 · 203d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY No @ 98.4¢$130.1k

LOW llllllllllllllllllllllll · 204d ago

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$124.9k

LOW helloiamworld · 203d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?called

BUY Yes @ 85¢$121.2k

MED glueeater · 204d ago

Trade this

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?called

BUY Yes @ 56¢$109.0k

MED therighteousdog · 203d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?missed

SELL No @ 96.5¢$108.0k

MED Istaroth · 204d ago

Trade this

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?missed

BUY No @ 95¢$104.1k

MED Radar · 204d ago

Trade this

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$94.6k

LOW jwp9999 · 203d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?called

BUY Yes @ 88¢$93.0k

MED PROVEN MisTKy · 204d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$83.9k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 203d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?missed

SELL Yes @ 86¢$76.1k

MED 0x2B495 · 203d ago

Trade this

Will Trump visit China by April 30?excluded

BUY No @ 98.4¢$71.3k

LOW 0x5bff…ffbe · 204d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?called

BUY Yes @ 69¢$68.7k

MED yungstalin · 204d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$1.56M · 61 flags

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

$400.5k · 5 flags

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?

$373.4k · 8 flags

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

$368.4k · 1 flags

Spurs vs. Clippers

$354.4k · 12 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$339.2k · 7 flags