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What this means. A wallet put $40.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.9k
BUY Yes @ 56¢ · 73,020 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet Seasensez took Yes (buy) for $40.9k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $40.9k
- Placed
- Apr 03, 11:48 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 03, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Seasensez
- Tx
- 0xd4e4edac…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+30.0 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsYes price · entry 56¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $42.9k | excluded |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $50.6k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | MED BUY No @ 43¢ | $36.2k | excluded |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | LOW SELL No @ 43¢ | $36.1k | excluded |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $24.4k | excluded |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $109.0k | called |