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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did +30.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+30.0 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$73.9k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$267.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.25M volume · 257 trades · since Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$425.8k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$158.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
221d
21 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.1 | +30.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $40.9k | called |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $12.2k | called |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $20.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8379b0…