Friday, March 6, 2026

137 whale trades totalling $3.76M from 82 wallets. Biggest: $493.1k sell No on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$493.1k 2.3× usual	0%	Shipoo	232d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	MED BUY No @ 80¢	$240.1k 6.4× usual	80%	Erasmus. PROVEN	231d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$151.0k	98%	Official-Market-Maker	231d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 67¢	$150.7k 6.9× usual	67%	Llalalala	231d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 88¢	$149.5k 6.8× usual	12%	Llalalala	231d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	MED SELL No @ 81¢	$81.0k 3.3× usual	19%	SemyonMarmeladov	231d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	MED BUY No @ 80¢	$64.0k	80%	Erasmus. PROVEN	231d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 87¢	$52.4k	87%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	231d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$44.0k	100%	DiamondHands11	231d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 63¢	$41.8k	63%	Erasmus. PROVEN	231d ago	called	Trade this
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢	$40.7k	81%	geniusMC	231d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 87¢	$37.6k	87%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	232d ago	called	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 84¢	$34.0k	84%	MisterFixel	231d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$30.7k	100%	DiamondHands11	231d ago	excluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$29.9k	99%	qweqasd999	231d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$493.1k

MED Shipoo · 232d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called

BUY No @ 80¢$240.1k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$151.0k

LOW Official-Market-Maker · 231d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 67¢$150.7k

MED Llalalala · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?missed

SELL No @ 88¢$149.5k

MED Llalalala · 231d ago

Trade this

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed

SELL No @ 81¢$81.0k

MED SemyonMarmeladov · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called

BUY No @ 80¢$64.0k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 87¢$52.4k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$44.0k

LOW DiamondHands11 · 231d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 63¢$41.8k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 231d ago

Trade this

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?called

BUY Yes @ 81¢$40.7k

LOW geniusMC · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 87¢$37.6k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 232d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 84¢$34.0k

LOW MisterFixel · 231d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$30.7k

LOW DiamondHands11 · 231d ago

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$29.9k

LOW qweqasd999 · 231d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.61M · 62 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$381.8k · 13 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$337.0k · 10 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$328.1k · 4 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

$225.9k · 15 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$196.0k · 3 flags