Thursday, March 5, 2026

66 whale trades totalling $2.56M from 44 wallets. Biggest: $293.8k buy No on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$293.8k 7.1× usual	100%	Pestle	232d ago	excluded
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$274.7k 6.9× usual	99%	geniusMC	233d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 86¢	$190.7k 10.3× usual	86%	Arbguy	232d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 85¢	$127.2k	85%	AML	233d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$120.8k 2.9× usual	100%	Pestle	233d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 86¢	$100.1k 5.4× usual	86%	Arbguy	232d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$89.4k 2.2× usual	99%	Pestle	232d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 86¢	$85.7k 4.4× usual	86%	betwick	232d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 87¢	$83.8k 2.2× usual	87%	Erasmus. PROVEN	232d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$81.2k	100%	Pestle	232d ago	excluded
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$80.9k 2.0× usual	100%	geniusMC	232d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 62¢	$62.0k	62%	Erasmus. PROVEN	232d ago	called	Trade this
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$58.7k	0%	Shipoo	232d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 84¢	$54.4k 2.3× usual	84%	0x8b4b…541b PROVEN	233d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$45.5k	99%	Pestle	232d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$293.8k

MED Pestle · 232d ago

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$274.7k

LOW geniusMC · 233d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 86¢$190.7k

MED Arbguy · 232d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 85¢$127.2k

MED AML · 233d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$120.8k

LOW Pestle · 233d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 86¢$100.1k

MED Arbguy · 232d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$89.4k

LOW Pestle · 232d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 86¢$85.7k

LOW betwick · 232d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 87¢$83.8k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 232d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$81.2k

LOW Pestle · 232d ago

Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$80.9k

LOW geniusMC · 232d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 62¢$62.0k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 232d ago

Trade this

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$58.7k

LOW Shipoo · 232d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 84¢$54.4k

MED PROVEN 0x8b4b…541b · 233d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$45.5k

LOW Pestle · 232d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$740.9k · 12 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$712.0k · 16 flags

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

$274.7k · 1 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$188.6k · 8 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$146.4k · 3 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

$103.9k · 8 flags