Wednesday, March 4, 2026

96 whale trades totalling $4.52M from 73 wallets. Biggest: $541.4k sell No on “Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” at 99.8¢. 3 of 5 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 2.5 expected (+10.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$541.4k 2.6× usual	0%	Shipoo	233d ago	excluded
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$513.6k 2.4× usual	0%	Shipoo	233d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.6¢	$310.1k 7.5× usual	100%	Pestle	233d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 83¢	$200.0k 2.6× usual	83%	AML	234d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$192.2k 4.6× usual	100%	Pestle	233d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$179.1k 7.5× usual	1%	nj168	233d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$122.1k	100%	Spon	233d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$112.2k 2.7× usual	99%	Pestle	233d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$109.6k 2.6× usual	100%	Pestle	233d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 84¢	$100.0k	84%	AML	233d ago	called	Trade this
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$99.7k 3.9× usual	100%	Tigerofthehood	234d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$89.5k 2.2× usual	100%	Pestle	233d ago	excluded
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$79.9k	100%	standagain	234d ago	excluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	MED BUY No @ 72¢	$75.1k	72%	yuce66	233d ago	missed	Trade this
Trump out as President by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 98¢	$60.0k	98%	jwp9999	233d ago	excluded

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$541.4k

MED Shipoo · 233d ago

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$513.6k

MED Shipoo · 233d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$310.1k

MED Pestle · 233d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 83¢$200.0k

MED AML · 234d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$192.2k

LOW Pestle · 233d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$179.1k

LOW nj168 · 233d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$122.1k

LOW Spon · 233d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$112.2k

LOW Pestle · 233d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$109.6k

LOW Pestle · 233d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 84¢$100.0k

LOW AML · 233d ago

Trade this

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$99.7k

LOW Tigerofthehood · 234d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$89.5k

LOW Pestle · 233d ago

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$79.9k

LOW standagain · 234d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?missed

BUY No @ 72¢$75.1k

MED yuce66 · 233d ago

Trade this

Trump out as President by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 98¢$60.0k

LOW jwp9999 · 233d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.01M · 13 flags

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$541.4k · 1 flags

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$513.6k · 1 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$359.6k · 4 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

$269.3k · 10 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$257.0k · 6 flags