Tuesday, March 3, 2026

256 whale trades totalling $16.06M from 192 wallets. Biggest: $2.32M buy Yes on “Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?” at 69¢. 43 of 112 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 67.7 expected (-22.1 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢	$2.32M	69%	bmwenjoyerr NEW	234d ago	excluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢	$1.82M	69%	dutchbroo	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$664.9k 12.2× usual	100%	rdba	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$399.6k 2.0× usual	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$306.3k 4.7× usual	100%	TheLastOfMachine	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$273.3k 2.6× usual	0%	ElvenWisp	234d ago	excluded
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5	HIGH BUY Over @ 49¢	$251.8k	49%	0x4924…3782	234d ago	excluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	MED SELL Yes @ 68¢	$242.3k 2.4× usual	32%	0x7af9…b408	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$227.8k 8.6× usual	100%	chungguskhan	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$209.6k	0%	0x5ed3…b19e	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$208.9k	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	234d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$179.2k 3.7× usual	1%	Coram_Deo	234d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$175.0k 3.4× usual	100%	0x5bff…ffbe	234d ago	excluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$168.5k	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	234d ago	excluded
Spread: Suns (-9.5)	MED BUY Kings @ 52¢	$164.4k	52%	0x4924…3782	234d ago	excluded

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 69¢$2.32M

HIGH New wallet bmwenjoyerr · 234d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 69¢$1.82M

HIGH dutchbroo · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$664.9k

LOW rdba · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$399.6k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$306.3k

MED TheLastOfMachine · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$273.3k

MED ElvenWisp · 234d ago

Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5excluded

BUY Over @ 49¢$251.8k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 234d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

SELL Yes @ 68¢$242.3k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$227.8k

LOW chungguskhan · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$209.6k

LOW 0x5ed3…b19e · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$208.9k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 234d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$179.2k

LOW Coram_Deo · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$175.0k

LOW 0x5bff…ffbe · 234d ago

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$168.5k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 234d ago

Spread: Suns (-9.5)excluded

BUY Kings @ 52¢$164.4k

MED 0x4924…3782 · 234d ago

Most traded markets

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?

$6.04M · 42 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$4.55M · 61 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$697.1k · 12 flags

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

$673.1k · 21 flags

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

$566.4k · 19 flags

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

$490.7k · 14 flags