0x7af9…b408

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$1.27M

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$425.7k

Last 30 days +$0 · $22.95M volume · 4,141 trades · since Feb 16, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$1.54M

Open P&L · 79 positions

−$1.15M

Closed-position win rate

90%

145 closed

Wallet age · markets

250d

188 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	MED SELL Yes @ 68¢	$242.3k 2.4× usual	32%	234d ago	excluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	MED BUY Yes @ 68¢	$151.1k	68%	234d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW BUY No @ 35¢	$35.6k	35%	236d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	MED SELL Yes @ 65¢	$159.5k	35%	236d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	MED BUY Yes @ 65¢	$159.5k	65%	236d ago	excluded
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW BUY No @ 53¢	$65.3k	53%	236d ago	excluded
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?	LOW BUY No @ 45¢	$10.2k	45%	237d ago	excluded
Nets vs. Celtics	MED BUY Celtics @ 90.9¢	$208.9k 2.1× usual	91%	238d ago	excluded
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?	MED BUY Yes @ 70¢	$136.7k	70%	241d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?	LOW BUY No @ 40¢	$22.4k	40%	243d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?	LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢	$20.3k	61%	244d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?	MED BUY No @ 36¢	$60.3k	36%	244d ago	excluded

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

SELL Yes @ 68¢$242.3k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 234d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 68¢$151.1k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 234d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

BUY No @ 35¢$35.6k

LOW 0x7af9…b408 · 236d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

SELL Yes @ 65¢$159.5k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 236d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 65¢$159.5k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 236d ago

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

BUY No @ 53¢$65.3k

LOW 0x7af9…b408 · 236d ago

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?excluded

BUY No @ 45¢$10.2k

LOW 0x7af9…b408 · 237d ago

Nets vs. Celticsexcluded

BUY Celtics @ 90.9¢$208.9k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 238d ago

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?excluded

BUY Yes @ 70¢$136.7k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 241d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?excluded

BUY No @ 40¢$22.4k

LOW 0x7af9…b408 · 243d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 61¢$20.3k

LOW 0x7af9…b408 · 244d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?excluded

BUY No @ 36¢$60.3k

MED 0x7af9…b408 · 244d ago

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