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What this means. A wallet put $159.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$159.5k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 245,344 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x7af9…b408 took Yes (buy) for $159.5k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $159.5k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $159.5k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 11:18 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 11:30 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x7af9…b408
- Tx
- 0xe66423fc…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $152.8k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |