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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
$10.5k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 10,517 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet cy14 took Yes (sell) for $10.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$10.5k
Placed
Mar 01, 13:55 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 11:30 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
cy14
Tx
0x15c5ffb8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-62.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 0x3ae5…ead2236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% praktor237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $152.8k
8.3× usual
0% 0xeac4…c1dd237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% coinlaundry237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% hanlun237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $67.8k
2.2× usual
99% gmanas237d agoexcluded