praktor

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +15.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+15.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$201.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$2,510

Last 30 days +$0 · $16.71M volume · 14,371 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$118.2k

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$110.3k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

388d

1570 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	1	0.8	+15.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢	$28.9k	85%	212d ago	called
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$29.0k	0%	236d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$30.0k	0%	236d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢	$29.7k	99%	236d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢	$18.6k	97%	237d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$11.1k	0%	268d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$31.1k	100%	268d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$23.4k	0%	331d ago	excluded

Will Trump visit China by May 31?called

BUY Yes @ 85¢$28.9k

LOW praktor · 212d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$29.0k

LOW praktor · 236d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$30.0k

LOW praktor · 236d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99¢$29.7k

LOW praktor · 236d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97¢$18.6k

LOW praktor · 237d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$11.1k

LOW praktor · 268d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$31.1k

LOW praktor · 268d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$23.4k

LOW praktor · 331d ago

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