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What this means. A wallet put $35.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
$35.6k
BUY No @ 35¢ · 101,689 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x7af9…b408 took No (buy) for $35.6k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $35.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
As American odds
+186 no vig
Size
$35.6k
Placed
Mar 01, 11:28 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 11:30 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x7af9…b408
Tx
0x21ee854f…

Entry to resolution

Grade -35 pts
No price · entry 35¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 35¢ · $35.6k WHALE $35.6K @ 35¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 0x3ae5…ead2237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% praktor237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $152.8k
8.3× usual
0% 0xeac4…c1dd237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% coinlaundry237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% cy14237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% hanlun237d agoexcluded