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What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?excluded
$20.3k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 33,333 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x7af9…b408 took Yes (buy) for $20.3k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
61¢
Implied odds
61.0%
As American odds
−156 no vig
Size
$20.3k
Placed
Feb 21, 14:59 EST
Market close
Feb 21, 15:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x7af9…b408
Tx
0x43071f9e…

Entry to resolution

Grade +39 pts
Yes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 61¢ · $20.3k WHALE $20.3K @ 61¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% vincentchase11244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.9k0% UnfortunateSon244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $600.0k
19.3× usual
0% joosangyoo244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% Fadepix244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% TB14244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ $30.0k22% shark142244d agoexcluded