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What this means. A wallet put $99.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?missed
$99.6k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 150,985 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet auggl00p took Yes (buy) for $99.6k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $99.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
66.0%
As American odds
−194 no vig
Size
$99.6k
Placed
Mar 03, 10:16 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 15:15 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
auggl00p
Tx
0xfdd39a20…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-36.9 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -66 pts
Yes price · entry 66¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $99.6k WHALE $99.6K @ 66¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.8× usual
0% KingVon99234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $26.0k0% ChompChomp888234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% TheOnlyHuman234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% olegio234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% the.Hound234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $27.7k
2.1× usual
0% xxzws1234d agoexcluded