Monday, March 2, 2026

288 whale trades totalling $13.40M from 189 wallets. Biggest: $1.37M sell Yes on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?” at 99.9¢. 24 of 53 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 30.9 expected (-13.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.37M 43.8× usual	0%	gmanas	236d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$598.3k 5.5× usual	0%	Incrediblez7-Defi NEW	236d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$597.4k 5.5× usual	100%	Incrediblez7-Defi NEW	236d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$590.0k 39.0× usual	0%	TheQuietRisk	235d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$357.3k 13.1× usual	0%	Kickstand7	235d ago	excluded
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5	MED BUY Over @ 46¢	$221.5k	46%	0x4924…3782	235d ago	excluded
Celtics vs. Bucks	LOW BUY Celtics @ 99.9¢	$206.6k 6.9× usual	100%	rwo	235d ago	excluded
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5	MED BUY Over @ 50¢	$206.0k 5.2× usual	50%	hotdogcat	235d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 60¢	$199.8k 2.6× usual	60%	AML	235d ago	called	Trade this
Clippers vs. Warriors	MED BUY Clippers @ 51¢	$190.5k 6.1× usual	51%	joosangyoo	235d ago	excluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?	MED BUY Yes @ 70¢	$181.1k 5.8× usual	70%	joosangyoo	235d ago	excluded
Celtics vs. Bucks	LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢	$175.3k 2.6× usual	0%	0x8a6c…0b3f	235d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$167.0k	0%	potnoodle NEW	235d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$149.8k	100%	100x	235d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$149.8k 5.3× usual	100%	95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965	236d ago	excluded

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.37M

MED gmanas · 236d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$598.3k

HIGH New wallet Incrediblez7-Defi · 236d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$597.4k

HIGH New wallet Incrediblez7-Defi · 236d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$590.0k

MED TheQuietRisk · 235d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$357.3k

MED Kickstand7 · 235d ago

Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5excluded

BUY Over @ 46¢$221.5k

MED 0x4924…3782 · 235d ago

Celtics vs. Bucksexcluded

BUY Celtics @ 99.9¢$206.6k

LOW rwo · 235d ago

Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5excluded

BUY Over @ 50¢$206.0k

MED hotdogcat · 235d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 60¢$199.8k

MED AML · 235d ago

Trade this

Clippers vs. Warriorsexcluded

BUY Clippers @ 51¢$190.5k

MED joosangyoo · 235d ago

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?excluded

BUY Yes @ 70¢$181.1k

MED joosangyoo · 235d ago

Celtics vs. Bucksexcluded

SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢$175.3k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 235d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$167.0k

MED New wallet potnoodle · 235d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$149.8k

LOW 100x · 235d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$149.8k

LOW 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 · 236d ago

Most traded markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$3.45M · 25 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$2.21M · 39 flags

Celtics vs. Bucks

$1.85M · 47 flags

Clippers vs. Warriors

$1.18M · 26 flags

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?

$646.9k · 19 flags

Nuggets vs. Jazz

$597.7k · 20 flags