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What this means. A wallet put $221.5k on Over, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5excluded
$221.5k
BUY Over @ 46¢ · 484,033 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Over (buy) for $221.5k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $221.5k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+118American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
46¢
Implied odds
45.8%
As American odds
+118 no vig
Size
$221.5k
Placed
Mar 02, 22:00 EST
Market close
Mar 02, 22:30 EST
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x4924…3782
Tx
0xd757f2bc…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -46 pts
Over price · entry 46¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 46¢ · $221.5k WHALE $221.5K @ 46¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5LOW BUY Over @ 45¢ $92.9k
2.2× usual
45% 0x2a2c…9bc1235d agoexcluded