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What this means. A wallet put $92.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5excluded
$92.9k
BUY Over @ 45¢ · 206,385 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x2a2c…9bc1 took Over (buy) for $92.9k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $92.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
45.0%
As American odds
+122 no vig
Size
$92.9k
Placed
Mar 02, 21:56 EST
Market close
Mar 02, 22:30 EST
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x2a2c…9bc1
Tx
0xefab8622…
This wallet's graded record
16/18+21.1 pts
expected 12.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Over price · entry 45¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $92.9k WHALE $92.9K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5MED BUY Over @ 46¢ $221.5k46% 0x4924…3782235d agoexcluded