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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.10M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$43.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.02M volume · 1,103 trades · since Feb 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,144
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$50.4k
Closed-position win rate
94%
49 closed
Wallet age · markets
259d
57 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 82¢ | $23.8k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $21.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $10.9k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $179.1k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $398.0k 16.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $448.1k 18.8× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfc655a…