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What this means. A wallet put $150.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
$150.7k
BUY No @ 67¢ · 225,534 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)6.9× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet Llalalala took No (buy) for $150.7k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $150.7k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−201American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
67¢
Implied odds
66.8%
Size
$150.7k
Placed
Mar 06, 21:46 EST
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Llalalala
Tx
0xce9d91d8…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-18.4 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0xad2f…d8c6 NEW116d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege117d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% kevtp119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% KazLC119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% HongKongMenace119d agoexcluded