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KazLC

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$234.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$23.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.60M volume · 1,593 trades · since Aug 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$23.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$129
Closed-position win rate
79%
136 closed
Wallet age · markets
448d
122 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% 119d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $12.2k99% 144d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $11.9k99% 160d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $11.9k100% 198d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $28.3k0% 294d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $19.8k99% 319d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $14.9k1% 324d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98¢ $14.7k2% 339d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ $14.7k2% 345d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $14.7k98% 345d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ $38.9k
2.6× usual
95% 355d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED SELL Yes @ 94.1¢ $37.6k
2.5× usual
6% 355d agomissed
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW KazLC · 119d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$12.2k
LOW KazLC · 144d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$11.9k
LOW KazLC · 160d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$11.9k
LOW KazLC · 198d ago
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$28.3k
LOW KazLC · 294d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$19.8k
LOW KazLC · 319d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$14.9k
LOW KazLC · 324d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 98¢$14.7k
LOW KazLC · 339d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 97.9¢$14.7k
LOW KazLC · 345d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 97.9¢$14.7k
LOW KazLC · 345d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 94.9¢$38.9k
LOW KazLC · 355d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
SELL Yes @ 94.1¢$37.6k
MED KazLC · 355d ago

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