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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$111.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.6k
Last 30 days −$0 · $245.8k volume · 8 trades · since Mar 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$15.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
236d
3 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | MED BUY No @ 73¢ | $27.6k | called |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | HIGH SELL No @ 67¢ | $33.5k | missed |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | MED BUY No @ 60¢ | $30.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xad2f50…