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What this means. A wallet put $33.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.5k
SELL No @ 67¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet 0xad2f…d8c6 took No (sell) for $33.5k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $33.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- Size
- $33.5k
- Placed
- Mar 08, 06:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xad2f…d8c6
- Tx
- 0xff07c6aa…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |