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What this means. A wallet put $149.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$149.5k
SELL No @ 88¢ · 169,217 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)6.8× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Llalalala took No (sell) for $149.5k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $149.5k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 11.7%
- Size
- $149.5k
- Placed
- Mar 06, 21:42 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Llalalala
- Tx
- 0x56f315c8…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-18.4 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $369.4k 9.9× usual |
excluded |